Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 88% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 77% |
| Army O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| Temple O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| O/U 42.5 | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 64% |
| Army vs. Temple | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| Temple O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| Army O/U 31.5 | 51% |
| Temple O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Temple 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Temple 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Temple 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Temple 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 51% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 51% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Army vs. Temple: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Temple O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 49% |
| Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Temple 2H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| Temple 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| O/U 50.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 54.5 | 35% |
| Temple O/U 28.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| O/U 56.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 58.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| O/U 60.5 | 21% |
| O/U 62.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -18.5 | 15% |
| O/U 64.5 | 15% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 66.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| O/U 68.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Army vs. Temple — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 93%. In the upcoming college football game between Army and Temple, scheduled for September 25 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Temple" if…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $172K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Army vs. Temple über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Army vs. Temple" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →