Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| O/U 49.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 71% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 68% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| West Virginia O/U 27.5 | 63% |
| O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| West Virginia O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| West Virginia O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia | 47% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 34.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 71.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| O/U 75.5 | 20% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| O/U 77.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 79.5 | 10% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: oklahoma state vs. west virginia 89%. In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma State and West Virginia, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma St…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $154K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
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