Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 31.5 | 89% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| O/U 34.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 38.5 | 74% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 48% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 47% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| O/U 55.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 56.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 58.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 61.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 62.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 97%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postpone…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $113K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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