Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 86% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 86% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 81% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 80% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 74% |
| O/U 36.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 73% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | 67% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 64% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 62% |
| O/U 40.5 | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 59% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 57% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 55% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 43% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 46.5 | 42% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 41% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 40% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 38% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 48.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 35% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 35% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 33% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 32% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| O/U 50.5 | 31% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Safety? | 28% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 28% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| O/U 52.5 | 27% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 54.5 | 22% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 22% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 18% |
| Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 17% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| Spread -19.5 | 15% |
| O/U 58.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 13% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 60.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| O/U 62.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 64.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Cowboys vs. Eagles — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 94%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Eagles, scheduled for October 26 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market will resolve to "Eagles"…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $915K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Cowboys vs. Eagles auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Cowboys vs. Eagles" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →